When will Venezuela hold a presidential election? — Before Jun 1, 2027
kalshi · 6 contracts · 5 deadlines · $4.9k traded · market at 24%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | When will Venezuela hold a presidential election? — Before Jun 1, 2027 | 0.230 | 0.260 | 24% | 2027-06-01 | $4.3k |
| kalshi | When will Venezuela hold a presidential election? — Before Jan 1, 2027 | 0.023 | 0.049 | 3.6% | 2027-01-01 | $556 |
| kalshi | When will Venezuela hold a presidential election? — Before Sep 1, 2026 | — | — | 0.1% | 2026-09-01 | $76 |
| kalshi | When will Venezuela hold a presidential election? — Before Jan 1, 2029 | 0.760 | 0.840 | 80% | 2029-01-01 | $2 |
| kalshi | When will Venezuela hold a presidential election? — Before Jan 1, 2028 | 0.360 | 0.440 | 40% | 2028-01-01 | — |
| kalshi | When will Venezuela hold a presidential election? — Before Jul 1, 2028 | 0.630 | 0.710 | 67% | 2028-07-01 | — |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Fox News — https://www.foxnews.com/
- MSNBC — https://www.msnbc.com/
- The Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/
- Semafor — https://www.semafor.com/
- ABC — https://abcnews.go.com/
- The Information — https://www.theinformation.com/
- CBS — https://www.cbsnews.com/
- The Washington Post — https://www.washingtonpost.com/
- Axios — https://www.axios.com/
- CNN — https://www.cnn.com/
- Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/
- The New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com/
- the Associated Press — https://apnews.com/
- Politico — https://www.politico.com/
Recent activity
- price move 1d ago -0.070
- price move 1d ago +0.145
- price move 1d ago +0.140
- price move 1d ago +0.070
- price move 1d ago -0.145
- price move 1d ago -0.140