Where will it rain on Oct 13, 2026? — Houston
kalshi · 2 contracts · 2 deadlines · $3.2k traded · market at 1.5%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Where will it rain on Oct 13, 2026? — Houston | 0.010 | 0.020 | 1.5% | 2026-10-14 | $4.3k |
| kalshi | Where will it rain on Oct 14, 2026? — Houston | 0.100 | 0.130 | 12% | 2026-10-15 | $310 |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- The Weather Company — https://weather.com/kalshi
Recent activity
- volume spike 46m ago
- price move 56m ago -0.095
- price move 1h ago +0.050
- volume spike 1h ago
- price move 2h ago -0.040
- volume spike 2h ago
- volume spike 3h ago