Which ballot measures will pass in Hawaii? — Authorize RISE Bonds Amendment
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $158 traded · market at 76%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Which ballot measures will pass in Hawaii? — Authorize RISE Bonds Amendment | 0.710 | 0.810 | 76% | 2027-11-02 | $158 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- official state election websites — https://kalshi.com/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- price move 1d ago +0.170
- price move 1d ago -0.170