polyrag

Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? — Chicago

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $141 traded · market at 1.9%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Which city will host the 2028 Democratic national convention? — Chicago 0.010 0.029 1.9% 2028-08-07 $141

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.