polyrag

Which G7 leader will leave office next? — Emmanuel Macron

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $2.3k traded · market at 71%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Which G7 leader will leave office next? — Emmanuel Macron 0.700 0.720 71% 2045-01-01 $2.3k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.