Which November Swiss referendums will pass? — Fireworks Initiative
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $442 traded · market at 52%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Which November Swiss referendums will pass? — Fireworks Initiative | 0.480 | 0.570 | 52% | 2027-11-29 | $442 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Swiss Federal Chancellery — https://www.bk.admin.ch/en/political-rights-section
- Swiss Federal Statistical Office — https://abstimmungen.admin.ch/en/overview
Recent activity
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