polyrag

Which of these African leaders will leave office next? — Abdelmadjid Tebboune

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $8 traded · market at 5.2%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Which of these African leaders will leave office next? — Abdelmadjid Tebboune 0.025 0.079 5.2% 2035-01-01 $8

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.