polyrag

Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election? — Republican party

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $67 traded · market at 50%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

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kalshi Which party will win the 2032 Presidential Election? — Republican party 0.470 0.530 50% 2033-11-02 $67

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

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