Which party will win the next UK general election? — Reform party
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $26.3k traded · market at 34%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Which party will win the next UK general election? — Reform party | 0.320 | 0.370 | 34% | 2029-08-31 | $26.3k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- The New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com/