polyrag

Which party will win the next UK general election? — Your Party

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $2 traded · market at 0.4%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Which party will win the next UK general election? — Your Party 0.001 0.008 0.4% 2029-08-31 $2

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.