polyrag

Which party will win the U.S. Senate? — Republican Party

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $3.1M traded · market at 38%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Which party will win the U.S. Senate? — Republican Party 0.370 0.380 38% 2027-02-01 $3.0M

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

Recent activity