Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake? — Bill Cassidy
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $1.5k traded · market at 18%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Which Senators will vote for Kari Lake? — Bill Cassidy | 0.100 | 0.260 | 18% | 2028-01-01 | $1.5k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- U.S. Senate — https://www.rules.senate.gov/rules-of-the-senate