Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026? — Michigan
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $907 traded · market at 77%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Which states will Democrats win a trifecta in 2026? — Michigan | 0.730 | 0.810 | 77% | 2027-11-03 | $907 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Arizona Secretary of State — https://azsos.gov
- Michigan Department of State — https://www.michigan.gov/sos/elections
- Nevada Secretary of State — https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/elections/election-information/202
- Wisconsin Elections Commission — https://elections.wi.gov/
- Minnesota Secretary of State — https://www.sos.mn.gov/elections-voting/election-results/
- Pennsylvania Department of State — https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/