Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026? — Ohio
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $261 traded · market at 32%
loading price history…
What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Which states will Republicans win a trifecta in 2026? — Ohio | 0.280 | 0.370 | 32% | 2027-11-03 | $261 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Alaska Division of Elections — https://www.elections.alaska.gov/
- Arizona Secretary of State — https://azsos.gov
- Kansas Secretary of State — https://sos.ks.gov/elections/election-results.html
- Michigan Department of State — https://www.michigan.gov/sos/elections
- Nevada Secretary of State — https://www.nvsos.gov/sos/elections/election-information/202
- Wisconsin Elections Commission — https://elections.wi.gov/
- Minnesota Secretary of State — https://www.sos.mn.gov/elections-voting/election-results/
- Pennsylvania Department of State — https://www.electionreturns.pa.gov/
- Vermont Secretary of State — https://sos.vermont.gov/elections/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.