Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strikes) — Rahm Emanuel
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $977 traded
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run? (More strike | 0.220 | 0.290 | 26% | 2028-11-01 | $977 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- The Washington Post — https://www.washingtonpost.com/
- Ballotpedia — https://ballotpedia.org
- The Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/
- ABC — https://abcnews.go.com/
- the Federal Election Commission — https://www.fec.gov
- Fox News — https://www.foxnews.com
- person — https://kalshi.com/
- the Associated Press — https://apnews.com/
- NBC — https://www.nbcnews.com/
- Axios — https://www.axios.com
- Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/
- The New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com
- official campaign websites or social media accounts of declared candidates — https://www.facebook.com/
- Politico — https://www.politico.com
- MSNBC — https://www.msnbc.com
- CNN — https://www.cnn.com
- Bloomberg News — https://www.bloomberg.com
- CBS — https://www.cbsnews.com/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.
Recent activity
- price move 8m ago -0.175
- price move 1h ago +0.175