Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? — Shabana Mahmood
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $211 traded · market at 26%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? — Shabana Mahmood | 0.230 | 0.280 | 26% | 2035-01-08 | $211 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Prime Minister's Office, 10 Downing Street — https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/prime-ministers-
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.