polyrag

Who will be the next Secretary of the Army? — Sean Parnell

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $1.2k traded · market at 22%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Who will be the next Secretary of the Army? — Sean Parnell 0.200 0.250 22% 2030-01-08 $1.2k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.