polyrag

Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — Ron DeSantis

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $521 traded · market at 6.7%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Who will be Trump's next Secretary of Defense? — Ron DeSantis 0.024 0.100 6.2% 2029-01-20 $521

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.