Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election? — Friedrich Merz
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $137 traded · market at 20%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Who will become Chancellor of Germany following the next federal election? — Fried | 0.140 | 0.230 | 18% | 2029-08-26 | $137 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Der Bundeswahlleiter — https://www.bundeswahlleiterin.de/
Recent activity
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