polyrag

Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election? — Himself

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $619 traded · market at 7.5%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Who will Donald Trump endorse in the 2028 presidential election? — Himself 0.060 0.090 7.5% 2028-03-01 $619

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.