Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026? — Steve Daines
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $44 traded · market at 2.2%
loading price history…
What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Who will Elon Musk back a primary against in 2026? — Steve Daines | 0.015 | 0.030 | 2.2% | 2027-02-01 | $44 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- ABC — https://abcnews.go.com/
- Fox News — https://www.foxnews.com/
- <person> — https://twitter.com/tylercowen
- MSNBC — https://www.msnbc.com/
- state election authorities — https://nass.org/can-I-vote
- The Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/
- Semafor — https://www.semafor.com/
- Ballotpedia — https://ballotpedia.org
- Federal Election Commission — https://www.fec.gov
- New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com/
- CBS — https://www.cbsnews.com/
- The Washington Post — https://www.washingtonpost.com/
- official campaign websites — https://www.fec.gov/official-campaign-websites/
- Energy Information Administration — https://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/PET_PRI_SPT_S1_D.htm
- official social media accounts verified by the platform — https://twitter.com/verified
- Axios — https://www.axios.com/
- CNN — https://www.cnn.com/
- Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/
- Bloomberg News — https://www.bloomberg.com
- the Associated Press — https://apnews.com/
- Politico — https://www.politico.com/