polyrag

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Bill Pulte

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $10.9k traded · market at 18%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026? — Bill Pulte 0.170 0.190 18% 2027-01-01 $10.9k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.