Who will run for president in 2028? — Joe Manchin
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $39 traded · market at 8.5%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Who will run for president in 2028? — Joe Manchin | 0.080 | 0.090 | 8.5% | 2028-11-07 | $39 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- the New York Times — https://nytimes.com
- MSNBC — https://www.msnbc.com
- Semafor — https://www.semafor.com/
- Bloomberg News — https://www.bloomberg.com/news
- ABC — https://abcnews.go.com/
- Fox News — https://www.foxnews.com
- Reuters — https://www.reuters.com
- Axios — https://www.axios.com/
- The Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/
- CNN — https://www.cnn.com
- NBC — https://www.nbcnews.com/
- The Information — https://www.theinformation.com/
- Politico — https://www.politico.com
- The Washington Post — https://www.washingtonpost.com/
- the Associated Press — https://apnews.com/
- CBS — https://www.cbsnews.com/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.