polyrag

Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — J.D. Vance

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $28.8k traded · market at 81%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — J.D. Vance 0.780 0.820 80% 2028-01-01 $29.2k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.