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Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? — Itamar Ben-Gvir

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $634 traded · market at 1.4%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel? — Itamar Ben-Gvir 0.001 0.027 1.4% 2045-01-01 $634

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.