Who will Trump pardon? — Scott Bessent
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $2.2k traded · market at 44%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Who will Trump pardon? — Scott Bessent | 0.410 | 0.470 | 44% | 2029-01-21 | $2.2k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- White House — https://whitehouse.gov/
- New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com/
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.