Will a cabinet member be impeached? — Before Jan 1, 2028
kalshi · 6 contracts · 6 deadlines · $35.1k traded · market at 65%
loading price history…
What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Will a cabinet member be impeached? — Before Jan 1, 2028 | 0.630 | 0.650 | 64% | 2028-01-01 | $25.7k |
| kalshi | Will a cabinet member be impeached? — Before Jan 20, 2029 | 0.700 | 0.760 | 73% | 2029-01-20 | $4.9k |
| kalshi | Will a cabinet member be impeached? — Before Jan 1, 2027 | 0.035 | 0.069 | 5.2% | 2027-01-01 | $3.9k |
| kalshi | Will a cabinet member be impeached? — Before Jul 1, 2027 | 0.340 | 0.390 | 36% | 2027-07-01 | $491 |
| kalshi | Will a cabinet member be impeached? — Before Oct 1, 2027 | 0.520 | 0.550 | 54% | 2027-10-01 | $78 |
| kalshi | Will a cabinet member be impeached? — Before Apr 1, 2027 | 0.110 | 0.170 | 14% | 2027-04-01 | $2 |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- The New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com/