polyrag

Will anyone win the Vermont Governor election outright? — First-round winner

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $4.8k traded · market at 70%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Will anyone win the Vermont Governor election outright? — First-round winner 0.700 0.710 70% 2027-11-03 $4.8k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

Recent activity