polyrag

Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?

polymarket · 2 contracts · 2 deadlines · $31.6k traded · market at 53%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
polymarket Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? 0.529 0.531 53% 2027-01-22 expected $19.2k
polymarket Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026? 0.410 0.420 42% 2027-02-12 expected $12.4k

Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.

How this settles

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