Will Louise Lucas resign from the Virginia Senate? — Before Dec 1, 2026
kalshi · 4 contracts · 4 deadlines · $0 traded · market at 6.0%
loading price history…
What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Will Louise Lucas resign from the Virginia Senate? — Before Dec 1, 2026 | 0.020 | 0.100 | 6.0% | 2026-12-01 | — |
| kalshi | Will Louise Lucas resign from the Virginia Senate? — Before Jan 13, 2027 | 0.100 | 0.200 | 15% | 2027-01-13 | — |
| kalshi | Will Louise Lucas resign from the Virginia Senate? — Before Jul 1, 2027 | 0.150 | 0.250 | 20% | 2027-07-01 | — |
| kalshi | Will Louise Lucas resign from the Virginia Senate? — Before Jan 1, 2028 | 0.300 | 0.400 | 35% | 2028-01-01 | — |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Louise Lucas — https://apps.senate.virginia.gov/Senator/memberpage.php?id=S
- the New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com