Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election? — Magdalena Andersson
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $46.0k traded · market at 82%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election? — Magdalena Andersson | 0.810 | 0.820 | 82% | 2028-01-01 | $46.0k |
Cross-venue
| buy | sell | edge | notional | resolution |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| poly 0.850 | kals 0.860 | 0.16c | $0.01 | diverges/medium [timing]: Polymarket's resolution deadline is June 30,… |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- parliament or legislature of <country> — https://www.parliament.go.ke/
- official government gazette or equivalent official publication of <country> — https://kalshi.com/
- office of the head of state of <country> — https://kalshi.com/
- major national news outlets of <country> — https://kalshi.com/
- Financial Times — https://ft.com/
- the Associated Press — https://apnews.com/
- official government websites of <country> — https://kalshi.com/
- Reuters — https://www.reuters.com
- The Guardian — https://www.theguardian.com
- BBC — https://www.bbc.co.uk
- The Washington Post — https://www.washingtonpost.com/
- Bloomberg News — https://www.bloomberg.com/news
- The New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com