Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?
polymarket · 3 contracts · 1 deadline · $34.3k traded · market at 44%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| polymarket | Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives | 0.420 | 0.450 | 44% | 2026-11-07 expected | $24.1k |
| polymarket | Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Represen | 0.500 | 0.550 | 52% | 2026-11-07 expected | $9.8k |
| polymarket | Will National Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Represent | 0.014 | 0.042 | 2.8% | 2026-11-07 expected | $415 |
How this settles
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