Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms? — Yes
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $686 traded · market at 7.6%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Will Neal Dunn leave Congress before the midterms? — Yes | 0.063 | 0.089 | 7.6% | 2026-11-03 | $686 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- person — https://kalshi.com/
- The Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/
- Bloomberg News — https://www.bloomberg.com/news
- The Washington Post — https://www.washingtonpost.com/
- the Associated Press — https://apnews.com/
- Fox News — https://www.foxnews.com
- Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/
- official government records and registries — https://kalshi.com
- the body, agency, company, organization, or entity at which role is held — https://kalshi.com
- CNN — https://www.cnn.com
- the New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com
- Politico — https://www.politico.com/