polyrag

Will New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina? — Yes

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $2.8k traded · market at 90%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Will New Hampshire schedule its 2028 presidential primary before South Carolina? — 0.850 0.960 90% 2028-01-22 $2.8k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.