polyrag

Will Ohio's special Senate winner be sworn in on Dec 15? — Yes

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $2.9k traded · market at 71%

loading price history…

What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Will Ohio's special Senate winner be sworn in on Dec 15? — Yes 0.680 0.740 71% 2026-12-16 $2.9k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.