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Will PP and Vox win 50% of the vote in Spain's election? — At least 50%

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $6.6k traded · market at 50%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Will PP and Vox win 50% of the vote in Spain's election? — At least 50% 0.500 0.510 50% 2027-11-29 $6.6k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.

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