Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241? — Before Aug 1, 2028
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $467 traded · market at 63%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Will SCOTUS allow First Step Act halfway-house claims under §2241? — Before Aug 1, | 0.590 | 0.670 | 63% | 2028-08-01 | $467 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Supreme Court — https://www.supremecourt.gov
The full contract terms ↗ — the binding document, not the market blurb.