Will the 2028 presidential election occur? — In 2028
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $69.4k traded · market at 91%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Will the 2028 presidential election occur? — In 2028 | 0.902 | 0.923 | 91% | 2028-12-01 | $69.4k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- The Washington Post — https://www.washingtonpost.com/
- The Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/
- NBC News — https://www.nbcnews.com/
- the Federal Election Commission — https://www.fec.gov
- Fox News — https://www.foxnews.com
- the Associated Press — https://apnews.com/
- Axios — https://www.axios.com
- CBS News — https://www.cbsnews.com/
- Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/
- The New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com
- Politico — https://www.politico.com
- MSNBC — https://www.msnbc.com
- CNN — https://www.cnn.com
- Bloomberg News — https://www.bloomberg.com
- ABC News — https://abcnews.go.com
- the National Archives and Records Administration — https://kalshi.com/