Will the American Affordability and Jobs Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · 2 contracts · 2 deadlines · $261 traded · market at 44%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Will the American Affordability and Jobs Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2027 | 0.420 | 0.470 | 44% | 2027-01-01 | $261 |
| kalshi | Will the American Affordability and Jobs Act become law? — Before Mar 1, 2027 | 0.640 | 0.690 | 66% | 2027-03-01 | — |
Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Library of Congress — https://www.congress.gov/search?q=%7B%22source%22%3A%22legis
Recent activity
- price move 1d ago +0.185