Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot? — Yes

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $315.6k traded · market at 98%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

source	contract	bid	ask	says	closes	traded
kalshi	Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot? — Yes	0.974	0.989	98%	2026-11-05	$315.6k

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

The Guardian — https://www.theguardian.com/
ABC News Australia — https://kalshi.com/
France 24 English — https://www.france24.com/en/
Deutsche Welle — https://www.dw.com
NHK World-Japan — https://www3.nhk.or.jp/nhkworld/
The Times of India — https://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/
official government websites for area — https://kalshi.com/
CBS News — https://www.cbsnews.com/
The Washington Post — https://www.washingtonpost.com/
Financial Times — https://www.ft.com
local newspapers of record in the relevant jurisdictions — https://kalshi.com/
relevant supranational/federal/state/provincial/local election authority for area — https://kalshi.com/
CNN — https://www.cnn.com/
The Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/
Fox News — https://www.foxnews.com
NBC News — https://www.nbcnews.com/
The Globe and Mail — https://www.theglobeandmail.com/
Politico — https://www.politico.com
Al Jazeera English — https://www.aljazeera.com/
Bloomberg News — https://www.bloomberg.com
the Associated Press — https://apnews.com/
ABC News — https://abcnews.go.com
Reuters — https://www.reuters.com
The South China Morning Post — https://www.scmp.com/
BBC News — https://www.bbc.com/news
relevant Secretary of State office — https://kalshi.com/
Channel NewsAsia — https://www.channelnewsasia.com/us
The New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com