polyrag

Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2027

kalshi · 9 contracts · 7 deadlines · $257.0k traded · market at 5.8%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2027 0.052 0.062 5.7% 2027-01-01 $141.4k
kalshi Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jan 1, 2028 0.260 0.310 28% 2028-01-01 $41.6k
kalshi Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Oct 1, 2027 0.130 0.160 14% 2027-10-01 $27.2k
kalshi Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Dec 1, 2026 0.020 0.040 3.0% 2026-12-01 $20.6k
kalshi Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Sep 1, 2026 — — 1.0% 2026-09-01 $16.9k
kalshi Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Oct 1, 2026 — — 1.0% 2026-10-01 $13.6k
kalshi Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Jul 1, 2027 0.110 0.130 12% 2027-07-01 $10.6k
kalshi Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Apr 1, 2027 0.050 0.090 7.0% 2027-04-01 $8.4k
kalshi Will the Clarity Act become law? — Before Nov 1, 2026 — 0.010 1.0% 2026-11-01 $7.1k

Several deadlines on one claim read as a term structure: the market prices the same question differently depending on when you ask it.

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.

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