Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year? — In 2026
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $13.4k traded · market at 2.2%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Will the Fed do a rate cut greater than 25bps this year? — In 2026 | 0.015 | 0.030 | 2.2% | 2027-01-01 | $13.4k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- Federal Reserve — https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm
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