polyrag

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?

polymarket · 7 contracts · 1 deadline · $10.5k traded · market at 28%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
polymarket Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? 0.270 0.280 28% 2026-12-09 expected $9.0k
polymarket Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? 0.070 0.100 8.5% 2026-12-09 expected $314
polymarket Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? 0.180 0.190 18% 2026-12-09 expected $301
polymarket Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? 0.060 0.090 7.5% 2026-12-09 expected $253
polymarket Will the Fed Pause–Hike–Hike in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? 0.100 0.120 11% 2026-12-09 expected $237
polymarket Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? 0.050 0.090 7.0% 2026-12-09 expected $237
polymarket Will the Fed Pause–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? 0.051 0.125 8.8% 2026-12-09 expected $214

How this settles

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