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Will the TX-23 special election be scheduled to a date before the midterms? — In 2026

kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $48 traded · market at 3.0%

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What each source says

Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.

sourcecontractbidask saysclosestraded
kalshi Will the TX-23 special election be scheduled to a date before the midterms? — In 2 0.010 0.050 3.0% 2026-11-03 $48

How this settles

The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.