Will the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026? — Yes
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $30 traded · market at 2.5%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Will the U.S. ban any open-source AI model in 2026? — Yes | 0.010 | 0.040 | 2.5% | 2027-01-01 | $30 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- White House — https://whitehouse.gov/
- United States Congress — https://www.congress.gov/
- Federal Register — https://www.federalregister.gov/agencies