Will the U.S. grant CAATSA sanctions relief to Turkey this year? — Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · 2 contracts · 1 deadline · $1.3k traded · market at 42%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Will the U.S. grant CAATSA sanctions relief to Turkey this year? — Before Jan 1, 2 | 0.400 | 0.450 | 42% | 2027-01-01 | $1.3k |
| kalshi | Will the U.S. grant CAATSA sanctions relief to Turkey this year? — Before Oct 1, 2 | — | — | 1.0% | 2026-10-01 | $13 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- ABC — https://abcnews.go.com/
- the Federal Register — https://www.federalregister.gov/
- The Information — https://www.theinformation.com
- MSNBC — https://www.msnbc.com/
- the White House — https://www.whitehouse.gov/
- CBS — https://www.cbsnews.com/
- social media of the White House and the President of the United States — https://kalshi.com/
- the Associated Press — https://apnews.com/
- The Washington Post — https://www.washingtonpost.com/
- Axios — https://www.axios.com/
- CNN — https://www.cnn.com/
- The Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/
- Fox News — https://www.foxnews.com
- The New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com/
- NBC — https://www.nbcnews.com/
- government agency — https://kalshi.com/
- Semafor — https://semafor.com
- Politico — https://www.politico.com
- Bloomberg News — https://www.bloomberg.com
- Reuters — https://www.reuters.com