Will the UK raise taxes in the October Budget? — Yes
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $20 traded · market at 88%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Will the UK raise taxes in the October Budget? — Yes | 0.850 | 0.920 | 88% | 2026-10-29 | $20 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- HM Treasury — https://www.gov.uk/government/organisations/hm-treasury
- Office for Budget Responsibility — https://obr.uk/