Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026? — Before 2027
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $44.2k traded · market at 4.8%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Will the United States recognize Reza Pahlavi as the leader of Iran in 2026? — Bef | 0.042 | 0.054 | 4.8% | 2027-01-01 | $44.2k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- ABC — https://abcnews.go.com/
- Axios — https://www.axios.com
- BBC — https://www.bbc.co.uk
- Bloomberg News — https://www.bloomberg.com/news
- CBS — https://www.cbsnews.com/
- CNN — https://www.cnn.com
- foreign ministry of country_1 — https://kalshi.com/
- Fox News — https://www.foxnews.com
- government and foreign ministry of country_2 — https://kalshi.com/
- government of country_1 — https://kalshi.com/
- head of government of country_1 — https://kalshi.com/
- head of state of country_1 — https://kalshi.com/
- MSNBC — https://www.msnbc.com
- NBC — https://www.nbcnews.com/
- Politico — https://www.politico.com
- Reuters — https://www.reuters.com/
- Semafor — https://semafor.com
- the Associated Press — https://apnews.com/
- The Information — https://www.theinformation.com/
- The New York Times — https://www.nytimes.com
- The Wall Street Journal — https://www.wsj.com/
- The Washington Post — https://www.washingtonpost.com/
Recent activity
- volume spike 1d ago
- volume spike 2d ago