Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands? — Yes
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $153 traded · market at 9.0%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Will the US recognize Argentine sovereignty over the Falklands? — Yes | 0.070 | 0.110 | 9.0% | 2027-01-01 | $153 |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- U.S. Department of State — https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/international-tra
- the White House — https://kalshi.com/