Will Trump embargo a new country? — Before Jan 1, 2027
kalshi · 1 contract · 1 deadline · $2.2k traded · market at 6.8%
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What each source says
Not all of these are prices. An order book is money you can take; an AMM quotes one probability with no book behind it; a forecast is nobody's price at all. They are worth reading together and must not be added together.
| source | contract | bid | ask | says | closes | traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| kalshi | Will Trump embargo a new country? — Before Jan 1, 2027 | 0.035 | 0.100 | 6.8% | 2027-01-01 | $2.2k |
How this settles
The venue names the authority that determines the outcome. It is the thing to watch — not the coverage of it.
- the White House — https://www.whitehouse.gov
- Federal Register — https://www.federalregister.gov/
- the President of the United States — https://www.whitehouse.gov/